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Probability and Odds

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rstaves07
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Post time 2015-5-3 11:47:15 | Show all posts |Read mode
Probability and Odds Reply:9| View:498
        Now this is not a Math lecture but it is a pointed out observation, that over time can be seen.

        Now the short Probability of you getting a specific number can be 0%; or 100% the more you do it the more defined the % will become.

        1) The daily quest you do to choose a card at the end to get your reward , Hitting; a card you generate a item now if you hit the 2nd card you have a very high chance 80%+ to see the Gem in the last slot and the Angel Tear in the next to last slot, you do this several times and its the same now you select the next to last slot and it splits the Gem and the Angel Tear, so your in the middle. On the Blitz function 30 times you get a gem a very low % of the time, the the Angel tear is slightly more often , i am talking 1 in 120 times to get a gem and about 5 in 90 to get a Angel tear, That is a very low chance to get a needed item through normal game play. and Blitzing is a Pay function

        2) And this is my main observation , your Prismatic Wheel rolling on the Diamond wheel my times doing this is very low but I have a 100% of getting the lowest amount, with that value having only 1 spot,; with 9 other spots having a higher value. the chances to hit 1 or 10 on a wheel every time cant be computed to an exact %

 rstaves07 Last edit in 2015-5-3 11:47:15

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1cychill
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Post time 2015-5-3 13:49:40 | Show all posts

Probability and Odds

        1) Blitzing is not a pay function, you can blitz after you hit a certain level.;

        Besides the rewards from daily quests aren\'t that great anyway, it hardly makes an impact on the game play. If you did get a higher reward from manually selecting then go on you, go ahead and do every dungeon manually. It would make a slight bit of sense because More Effort = Higher rewards.;

        2) The wheel is like all wheels in games not equal chances to get each spin. Its like the slot machine in the casino, rigged to let you win the lower sums more easily. Hence, no big surprise there, if you are not happy then don\'t recharge.;

        Btw, if you look at lucky tree lvl 8, there is a fusion gem lvl 8 and 500 diamonds on the tree. Those two items never ever drop, even on the test server where some people had a privilege of testing out the events. I had an alliance teammate who was lucky enough to get access to the test server. He said he tried it more than a 1,000 times on the lvl 8 tree and non of the lvl 8 fusion gem chest nor the 500 diamonds dropped.

        Therefore, it can be concluded that there might be items that would never drop in some of the events. Hence, suck it up, this game is like the casino. You either win more virtual stuff or get your money sucked out.;

        Play another game before you get to deep into it.;

        That\'s my advice to anyone.;
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 1cychill Last edit in 2015-5-3 13:49:40

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xeph
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Post time 2015-5-3 14:59:44 | Show all posts

Probability and Odds

^ Guess you speak from experience after spending a little too much.
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 xeph Last edit in 2015-5-3 14:59:44

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Post time 2015-5-3 16:33:04 | Show all posts

Probability and Odds

        Don\'t calculate the probability, all chance are system determined.
        The card flip, wheel are only masks, leave them away, don\'t be cheated.
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 tnb Last edit in 2015-5-3 16:33:04

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forrest.hallib...
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Post time 2015-5-4 05:45:25 | Show all posts

Probability and Odds

everything is has a percent to pay, lower prizes have a 50-75 % rate (split among them);while the 1 big prize has about a million to 1, and the rest have about a 25% chance (split among them), , that goes for cards, wheels etc. it is not luck, it is computer controlled, the cards are not randomly displayed, it selects what card is under after you select it. by the % rate. you will;get the lowest payout card at least 75% of the time. no matter what pattern you use.
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 forrest.hallib... Last edit in 2015-5-4 05:45:25

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Post time 2015-5-4 05:57:46 | Show all posts

Probability and Odds

        You\'re getting fooled by the illusion of choice. There\'s nowhere that it says you have an equal chance of flipping the 4 options for quests for example. The same principle applies to all other facets of the ;game. It\'s just the illusion of choice. The selection is already predetermined.

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 diestar1 Last edit in 2015-5-4 05:57:46

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 Author| Post time 2015-5-4 06:48:44 | Show all posts

Probability and Odds


Reply 1# 1cychill
LOL true you spend a lot or Hoard until you need to use let see within 3 hours of Tycoon starting you were at 127k I think it was and i notice you in top of everything most of the time but , of course your a wiz at the game or hummm or a bank card that likes to use your; 16 digits to win but its good the here from one of the highest spenders or luckiest ones in the game.
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 rstaves07 Last edit in 2015-5-4 06:48:44

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Post time 2015-5-4 08:11:04 | Show all posts

Probability and Odds

        this thread is just.... lol. no other way to put it
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 dingodog Last edit in 2015-5-4 08:11:04

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яє∂ѕнιfт...
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Post time 2015-5-4 09:35:07 | Show all posts

Probability and Odds

Reply 6# rstaves07@gmail.com

I\'m not fond of how broken the game is but 1cychill gave you a very decent answer replying to them with that attitude after they made a fair reasonable discussion isn\'t helping your argument;
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 яє∂ѕнιfт... Last edit in 2015-5-4 09:35:07

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